#Corona weather for the week windows

He, however, added that 'the data from tropical countries may rain on this hope somewhat'. When experts compare this new coronavirus to the virus that caused the SARS outbreak in 2003, there are similarities – this outbreak also started in the winter of the Northern Hemisphere and tapered off in July 2003.ĭavid Cennimo, who studies infectious diseases at Rutgers New Jersey Medical School, was quoted on CNN, saying that many experts 'hope – and I think the correct word is hope – that the summer will push down the case numbers'.

Is warmer weather generally better for health?Įven though we shouldn’t cling to the reassurance of temperature, it seems that spring and summer change the behaviour and thus the rate of transmission of a new virus. This means that new pandemic viruses are not affected by seasonality. In simple terms, viruses that have been around for a long time can make a living – spread through the population – only when the conditions are most favourable, in this case in winter,' he stated.

'New viruses have a temporary but important advantage – few or no individuals in the population are immune to them. Old viruses, which have been among the population for longer, operate on a thinner margin – most individuals are immune, and they have to make do with transmitting among the few who aren’t. Marc Lipssitch, an epidemiologist from Harvard, wrote that warmer weather is simply not enough to slow down the transmission of the virus. This, however, doesn’t necessarily mean that warmer regions are less at risk of a severe outbreak. The study suggested that the ideal region would be between five and 11 degrees Celsius, with a humidity of between 50% and 80%. In this research, a team from the University of Maryland and the University of Medical Sciences in Tehran used weather modelling to determine which regions were most likely to be at a high risk of transmission of the new coronavirus. While there is some evidence to suggest that the coronavirus thrives in certain climates, it’s not enough to reach a definite conclusion.Ī new study was published last week. But is this new strain of virus climate sensitive? What the evidence says We know that seasonal influenza tends to thrive in colder, drier conditions, hence the reason why people are hoping that the new coronavirus behaves like seasonal influenza.

#Corona weather for the week windows

We are all inside, the windows are closed etc., so we typically call that the influenza or the flu season.” Nelson Michael, a leading US military medical researcher, said to CNN World: “This is a respiratory virus and they always give us trouble during cold weather, for obvious reasons. Experts are hoping for the former – that the virus will start tapering off in spring, just like seasonal influenza.